Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 311.871088 354.215607 401.639357 458.959694 526.725578 604.730632 701.954646
2025-02-02 260.980787 319.175191 390.698118 486.253155 612.385162 775.793839 1007.889923
2025-02-09 224.743896 287.838468 370.086888 487.406594 654.242828 889.051803 1255.992421
2025-02-16 195.040472 258.590353 345.213479 475.202786 671.308656 966.587913 1466.679352
2025-02-23 173.368921 236.539084 325.915869 465.948420 688.310636 1043.779592 1691.650921
2025-03-02 161.582987 226.545771 321.801900 477.444923 737.467697 1179.110644 2047.909896
2025-03-09 148.952184 213.631697 311.360027 476.855248 765.764448 1283.460396 2374.924520
2025-03-16 136.184844 199.056996 296.478070 466.545545 774.911905 1354.066416 2653.578429
2025-03-23 127.544978 189.954065 289.110460 467.580423 803.932648 1467.179870 3057.010131
2025-03-30 117.930793 178.371338 276.415735 457.462735 810.044498 1535.105053 3377.314213
2025-04-06 110.963545 170.455370 269.002357 455.781860 832.011590 1640.392609 3826.034958
2025-04-13 101.428581 157.513104 251.796993 433.836587 809.509600 1642.861006 4002.329396
2025-04-20 99.152217 156.811896 256.182076 454.174783 880.139385 1879.144614 4950.315135
2025-04-27 97.829142 157.642825 263.403575 481.171027 970.824241 2190.482247 6300.777023
2025-05-04 93.116085 152.081569 258.293867 482.305168 1002.727677 2359.237263 7268.582748
2025-05-11 87.201743 143.912399 247.544464 470.258731 1001.205788 2436.450286 7943.671103
2025-05-18 82.176635 137.007715 238.631381 461.122788 1005.378932 2531.693406 8752.655382
2025-05-25 79.893946 134.991620 239.025891 472.472064 1063.576116 2806.253459 10532.937215
2025-06-01 76.497701 130.636328 234.393135 471.889961 1090.425848 2991.144259 12045.389761
2025-06-08 72.394618 124.665882 226.024465 461.712290 1089.503421 3084.471940 13169.538375
2025-06-15 69.698250 121.228638 222.566909 462.733945 1120.249141 3298.066504 15166.877636
2025-06-22 66.170347 115.953164 214.890130 452.745238 1117.619389 3391.008636 16534.952082
2025-06-29 63.637836 112.489141 210.777499 451.085727 1139.597506 3585.474962 18791.560141